Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 15.085158 17.097154 19.376089 22.169036 25.527822 29.473162 34.512236
2025-07-20 12.773001 15.382977 18.598029 22.923254 28.706987 36.352332 47.541482
2025-07-27 10.952457 13.687378 17.236402 22.306566 29.587449 40.047142 56.993790
2025-08-03 10.105881 13.039397 17.023740 23.032262 32.252088 46.606394 72.391645
2025-08-10 9.147095 12.085193 16.214588 22.705916 33.201454 50.650336 84.883301
2025-08-17 8.377224 11.291910 15.509694 22.383723 34.027299 54.583653 98.450193
2025-08-24 7.778255 10.674084 14.976339 22.224108 35.047324 59.033570 114.712205
2025-08-31 7.177590 9.992535 14.264596 21.659716 35.228675 61.898064 128.612221
2025-09-07 6.732817 9.505692 13.802686 21.444492 35.991342 66.084163 147.644307
2025-09-14 6.190437 8.824126 12.964414 20.466944 35.123721 66.580666 157.068739
2025-09-21 5.696800 8.185170 12.143935 19.431166 33.983392 66.220780 163.960315
2025-09-28 5.331577 7.726974 11.587888 18.819268 33.617782 67.597109 177.109287
2025-10-05 5.464158 8.093649 12.474583 21.054533 39.779181 87.155410 268.988106
2025-10-12 5.329274 8.007676 12.569064 21.775358 42.779986 99.758190 349.959625
2025-10-19 5.017762 7.600553 12.054005 21.198453 42.607674 103.143737 392.365008
2025-10-26 4.907150 7.528930 12.140254 21.876147 45.657785 117.770722 518.035093
2025-11-02 4.677190 7.233831 11.786998 21.571473 46.134595 124.144958 605.194017
2025-11-09 4.466683 6.960151 11.453032 21.270580 46.570335 130.635413 708.089224
2025-11-16 4.290746 6.737591 11.199928 21.121481 47.403035 139.076252 850.616142
2025-11-23 4.084687 6.449447 10.799612 20.594075 47.067029 142.814184 960.636745
2025-11-30 3.929423 6.245466 10.550715 20.392873 47.659399 150.835436 1149.983859
2025-12-07 3.708045 5.909857 10.020627 19.478440 45.954979 148.102751 1194.372347
2025-12-14 3.493890 5.579167 9.484142 18.508477 43.956146 143.481836 1204.824034